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9 predictions for the future of the sharing economy

Fred Wilson wrote a bit on his blog, AVC (great blog, highly recommended), the other day about the future of the Collaborative, Peer, and Sharing Economy with respect to a closing keynote speech he gave recently. The post consisted mainly of the bullet points he prepared before going on stage, with little of his own commentary, just the note that “Instead of wrapping up and summarizing what had been discussed, I decided to look out ten years and think about where this sector is headed.”

The real discussion happened in the comments, where commenters discussed the reality of decentralization, middlemen, and peers. We’ve put the bullet points Fred made into a graphic, as seen below. Take a look and think about these questions, which came to mind as I read through the bullets and comments:

  • Is a move towards complete decentralization the only option? How could a mix of centralized and decentralized work best?
  • What constitutes a peer in an increasingly automated world?
  • Are middlemen ever necessary?
  • Can networks ever totally replace hierarchies, or will there simply be hierarchies of networks?

future of sharing economy


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